{"id":16728,"date":"2024-08-04T01:07:15","date_gmt":"2024-08-04T01:07:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/globalgreens.org\/?post_type=community_blog&p=16728"},"modified":"2024-08-04T01:07:19","modified_gmt":"2024-08-04T01:07:19","slug":"saving-the-climate-is-crucial-for-global-peace","status":"publish","type":"community_blog","link":"https:\/\/globalgreens.org\/esp\/community_blog\/saving-the-climate-is-crucial-for-global-peace\/","title":{"rendered":"Salvar el clima es crucial para la paz global"},"content":{"rendered":"

Los brutales conflictos militares a gran escala que se est\u00e1n produciendo en todo el mundo no dejan lugar a dudas de que la seguridad mundial est\u00e1 atravesando uno de los desaf\u00edos m\u00e1s dif\u00edciles de la historia. Superarlo es una misi\u00f3n verdaderamente cr\u00edtica para el planeta si queremos asegurar el futuro. Sin embargo, con mucha frecuencia las soluciones que se ofrecen carecen de la dimensi\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica, ya que existe la creencia popular de que el cambio clim\u00e1tico tiene una conexi\u00f3n m\u00e1s bien indirecta con la consolidaci\u00f3n de la paz. Obviamente, esto no es as\u00ed. En los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os ha habido abundantes pruebas que demuestran que la paz mundial no se puede lograr sin la mitigaci\u00f3n del cambio clim\u00e1tico.<\/span><\/p>\n

En primer lugar, el cambio clim\u00e1tico aumenta enormemente la rivalidad por los recursos m\u00e1s vitales, como el acceso al agua, los alimentos y la tierra. Aproximadamente dos mil millones de personas en todo el mundo no tienen acceso a agua potable segura.Informe de los ODS de la ONU 2022<\/a>) y aproximadamente la mitad de la humanidad sufre una grave escasez de agua durante al menos una parte del a\u00f1o (Sexto informe de evaluaci\u00f3n del IPCC<\/a>). Seg\u00fan los datos de la Comisi\u00f3n Global sobre la Econom\u00eda del Agua, el planeta se enfrenta a \u201cLa perspectiva de un d\u00e9ficit de 40% en el suministro de agua dulce para 2030 con escasez grave en regiones con limitaciones de agua<\/a>\u201d. Esto significa que la situaci\u00f3n tiene un gran potencial de empeoramiento. Sumado a la degradaci\u00f3n de las tierras causada por el cambio clim\u00e1tico a trav\u00e9s de sequ\u00edas, desertificaci\u00f3n y otros fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos extremos, habr\u00e1 una disminuci\u00f3n en el volumen de territorio apto para la vida y la agricultura. Con los problemas proyectados con el suministro de alimentos y el crecimiento demogr\u00e1fico (Sexto informe de evaluaci\u00f3n del IPCC<\/a>), esto crea una base fundamental para el aumento del potencial de conflicto, junto con las innumerables disputas territoriales existentes en todo el mundo como catalizador perfecto.<\/span>
\n<\/span>
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

En segundo lugar, el cambio clim\u00e1tico crea una s\u00f3lida plataforma socioecon\u00f3mica para futuros conflictos. Los efectos negativos del cambio clim\u00e1tico afectan con mayor severidad a los pa\u00edses de bajos ingresos y a las personas que viven en la pobreza.OCDE<\/a>). El cambio clim\u00e1tico alimenta el hambre, la desigualdad y la injusticia social, creando as\u00ed profundos desequilibrios sociales a todos los niveles: internacional, nacional y local. Tambi\u00e9n es una causa de desplazamientos y migraciones forzadas a niveles sin precedentes. Seg\u00fan el Programa Mundial de Alimentos, los fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos extremos obligaron a migrar a 30 millones de personas en 2020. Todo esto lleva a que millones de personas se queden con oportunidades muy limitadas de un futuro digno, lo que a su vez puede ser utilizado sistem\u00e1ticamente por diversos grupos populistas, radicales e incluso extremistas que construyen su capital pol\u00edtico provocando conflictos.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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En tercer lugar, las regiones y los territorios m\u00e1s vulnerables a los conflictos militares y al cambio clim\u00e1tico tienen una gran superposici\u00f3n geogr\u00e1fica. Muchos de los 15 pa\u00edses m\u00e1s vulnerables al cambio clim\u00e1tico han experimentado o est\u00e1n experimentando actualmente conflictos militares intensos.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Tabla. Los 15 pa\u00edses m\u00e1s vulnerables al cambio clim\u00e1tico<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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Fuente:\u00a0\u201cConsideraci\u00f3n del cambio clim\u00e1tico en la pol\u00edtica de seguridad y defensa de la UE\u201d EPRS | Servicios de Investigaci\u00f3n del Parlamento Europeo, PE729.467 - junio de 2022<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Esta coincidencia geogr\u00e1fica ejerce una presi\u00f3n adicional sobre la seguridad mundial futura.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Por \u00faltimo, el cambio clim\u00e1tico limita seriamente la capacidad de la comunidad internacional para crear una resistencia eficaz a las fuerzas que fomentan los conflictos violentos. Las graves consecuencias del cambio clim\u00e1tico simplemente requieren demasiados recursos para resolverse, lo que deja muy poca capacidad para superar desaf\u00edos adicionales, como los conflictos potenciales. El precio del cambio clim\u00e1tico, no s\u00f3lo desde la perspectiva humana sino tambi\u00e9n desde la econ\u00f3mica, es enorme. Seg\u00fan la\u00a0Instituto de Potsdam para la Investigaci\u00f3n del Impacto Clim\u00e1tico<\/a>Se estima que los da\u00f1os anuales globales ascienden a\u00a038 billones de d\u00f3lares estadounidenses, con un rango probable de 19 a 59 billones de d\u00f3lares estadounidenses en 2050<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Por ello, la lucha por detener el cambio clim\u00e1tico es esencial para garantizar al planeta una paz duradera. \u00a1Es el momento adecuado para actuar!<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Ivan Filippov, miembro del Grupo de Trabajo sobre Clima de Global Greens<\/span><\/i>
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